338Canada.com - Québec - Quebec Liberal Party





Last update: October 22, 2020

LeaderDominique Anglade
National popular vote in 201924.8%
Current vote projection19.8% ± 3.5%
Current number of MNA's28
Current seat projection16 ± 6


Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to Quebec Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe >99%
2. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe >99%
3. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe >99%
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe >99%
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe >99%
6. Nelligan LIB safe >99%
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe >99%
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe >99%
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe >99%
10. Acadie LIB likely 97%
11. Viau LIB likely 93%
12. Pontiac LIB leaning 88%
13. LaFontaine LIB leaning 85%
14. Chomedey LIB leaning 80%
15. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB leaning 74%
16. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Toss up 65%
17. Bourassa-Sauvé Toss up 40%
18. La Pinière Toss up 31%
19. Marquette CAQ leaning 19%
20. Verdun CAQ leaning 17%
21. Laporte CAQ leaning 11%
22. Anjou–Louis-Riel CAQ likely 9%
23. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up 6%
24. Vaudreuil CAQ likely 6%
25. Vimont CAQ likely 4%
26. Maurice-Richard CAQ likely 3%
27. Mille-Îles CAQ likely 2%
28. Châteauguay CAQ likely 1%
29. Fabre CAQ likely 1%
30. Hull CAQ likely 1%
31. Laurier-Dorion QS likely <1%
32. Ungava CAQ likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe
2. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe
3. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe
6. Nelligan LIB safe
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe
10. Acadie LIB likely
11. Viau LIB likely
12. Pontiac LIB leaning
13. LaFontaine LIB leaning
14. Chomedey LIB leaning
15. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB leaning
16. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Toss up
17. Bourassa-Sauvé Toss up
18. La Pinière Toss up
19. Marquette CAQ leaning
20. Verdun CAQ leaning
21. Laporte CAQ leaning
22. Anjou–Louis-Riel CAQ likely
23. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up
24. Vaudreuil CAQ likely
25. Vimont CAQ likely
26. Maurice-Richard CAQ likely
27. Mille-Îles CAQ likely
28. Châteauguay CAQ likely
29. Fabre CAQ likely
30. Hull CAQ likely
31. Laurier-Dorion QS likely
32. Ungava CAQ likely