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Newfoundland & labrador


Virginia Waters-Pleasantville


MHA: Bernard Davis (LIB)


Latest projection: April 15, 2024

LIB likely
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville 48% ± 9% LIB 27% ± 8%▼ NDP 25% ± 7%▲ PC LIB 2021 59.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Virginia Waters-Pleasantville 99%▲ LIB LIB <1%▼ NDP NDP <1% PC PC Odds of winning | April 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Virginia Waters-Pleasantville

LIB 48% ± 9% PC 25% ± 7% NDP 27% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Virginia Waters-Pleasantville 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Virginia Waters-Pleasantville

LIB 99% PC <1% NDP <1% NLA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP NLA

Recent electoral history | Virginia Waters-Pleasantville



2019 2021 Proj. LIB 44.2% 59.6% 48% ± 9% PC 35.5% 21.0% 25% ± 7% NDP 20.2% 19.4% 27% ± 8%