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Newfoundland & labrador


St. John’s West


MHA: Siobhan Coady (LIB)


Latest projection: April 15, 2024

LIB likely
St. John’s West 45% ± 9% LIB 34% ± 9%▲ PC 21% ± 7%▼ NDP LIB 2021 57.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% St. John’s West 90%▼ LIB LIB 10%▲ PC PC <1% NDP NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | St. John’s West

LIB 45% ± 9% PC 34% ± 9% NDP 21% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | St. John’s West 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | St. John’s West

LIB 90% PC 10% NDP <1% NLA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP NLA

Recent electoral history | St. John’s West



2019 2021 Proj. LIB 45.7% 57.8% 45% ± 9% PC 42.2% 32.0% 34% ± 9% NDP 12.1% 10.1% 21% ± 7%