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Newfoundland & labrador


Mount Scio


MHA: Sarah Stoodley (LIB)


Latest projection: April 15, 2024

Toss up
Mount Scio 36% ± 9% LIB 32% ± 8%▲ PC 32% ± 9%▼ NDP LIB 2021 46.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Mount Scio 56%▲ LIB LIB 22%▼ NDP NDP 21%▲ PC PC Odds of winning | April 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mount Scio

LIB 36% ± 9% PC 32% ± 8% NDP 32% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Mount Scio 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Mount Scio

LIB 56% PC 21% NDP 22% NLA <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP NLA

Recent electoral history | Mount Scio



2019 2021 Proj. LIB 41.7% 46.6% 36% ± 9% PC 37.2% 26.7% 32% ± 8% NDP 12.6% 24.9% 32% ± 9% NLA 8.5% 1.4% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.4% 0% ± 0%