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Newfoundland & labrador


Mount Pearl-Southlands


MHA: Paul Lane (AIP)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

IND likely
Mount Pearl-Southlands 49% ± 11%▼ IND 25% ± 8%▲ 14% ± 5%▼ 13% ± 5%▲ IND 2021 59.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Mount Pearl-Southlands >99% IND <1% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mount Pearl-Southlands

LIB 25% ± 8% PC 14% ± 5% NDP 13% ± 5% IND 49% ± 11% Popular vote projection % | Mount Pearl-Southlands 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP IND

Odds of winning | Mount Pearl-Southlands

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP <1% NLA <1% IND >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP NLA IND

Recent electoral history | Mount Pearl-Southlands



2019 2021 Proj. IND 43.7% 59.6% 49% ± 11% LIB 28.3% 24.0% 25% ± 8% PC 24.6% 13.8% 14% ± 5% NDP 3.3% 2.6% 13% ± 5%