338Canada.com - List of leaning and toss up districts


List of leaning (41) and toss up (28) districts


(Last update: December 8, 2019)

Electoral district Current party Projection Parties in play
12003 Cumberland–Colchester LPC leaning
12011 West Nova Toss up
13003 Fredericton GPC leaning
13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake LPC leaning
24001 Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning
24005 Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
24008 Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up
24013 Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
24016 Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning
24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
24019 Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC leaning
24021 Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up
24026 Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning



Electoral district Current party Projection Parties in play
24028 Hochelaga LPC leaning
24032 Jonquière BQ leaning
24034 La Prairie Toss up
24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
24049 Montarville BQ leaning
24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC leaning
24059 Québec LPC leaning
24062 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
24072 Shefford Toss up
24073 Sherbrooke Toss up
24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill CPC leaning
35006 Bay of Quinte Toss up
35018 Davenport Toss up



Electoral district Current party Projection Parties in play
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook CPC leaning
35037 Hamilton Mountain NDP leaning
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington CPC leaning
35041 Kanata–Carleton LPC leaning
35042 Kenora CPC leaning
35043 King–Vaughan Toss up
35045 Kitchener Centre LPC leaning
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga Toss up
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler LPC leaning
35065 Newmarket–Aurora LPC leaning
35066 Niagara Centre Toss up
35067 Niagara Falls CPC leaning
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South CPC leaning
35072 Oakville LPC leaning
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha LPC leaning



Electoral district Current party Projection Parties in play
35087 Richmond Hill Toss up
35092 Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River LPC leaning
35114 Whitby LPC leaning
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
35117 Windsor West Toss up
46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Toss up
46013 Winnipeg South LPC leaning
47012 Saskatoon West Toss up
59002 Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby South NDP leaning
59007 Cloverdale–Langley City Toss up
59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Toss up
59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells LPC leaning
59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge CPC leaning



Electoral district Current party Projection Parties in play
59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Toss up
59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay Toss up
59030 South Surrey–White Rock Toss up
59031 Steveston–Richmond East CPC leaning
59036 Vancouver Granville IND leaning
59037 North Island–Powell River NDP leaning
59041 Victoria GPC leaning
60001 Yukon Toss up