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South Carolina - 9 electoral votes
Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]
| Firm | Date (middle) | Sample | DEM | REP | Leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada projection | 2020-11-03 | 43.5 | 52.5 | Trump +9.0 | |
| Data for Progress | 2020-10-30 | 880 | 44 | 53 | Trump +9 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-10-27 | 904 | 45 | 51 | Trump +6 |
| East Carolina University | 2020-10-25 | 763 | 44 | 52 | Trump +8 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-10-16 | 926 | 45 | 51 | Trump +6 |
| Siena College/NYT | 2020-10-12 | 605 | 41 | 49 | Trump +8 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-10-07 | 903 | 42 | 54 | Trump +12 |
| Quinnipiac | 2020-09-25 | 1123 | 47 | 48 | Trump +1 |
| YouGov | 2020-09-24 | 1080 | 42 | 52 | Trump +10 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-09-16 | 764 | 44 | 50 | Trump +6 |
| Quinnipiac | 2020-09-12 | 1164 | 45 | 51 | Trump +6 |
| Quinnipiac | 2020-08-01 | 914 | 42 | 47 | Trump +5 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-07-29 | 741 | 44 | 49 | Trump +5 |
| Civiqs | 2020-05-25 | 591 | 42 | 52 | Trump +10 |
| AtlasIntel | 2020-02-27 | 1100 | 42 | 48 | Trump +6 |
| East Carolina University | 2020-02-01 | 1756 | 40 | 52 | Trump +12 |
[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]
If Trump/Biden wins South Carolina...
| Odds of winning election | Odds of losing election | Odds of 269-269 tie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Biden wins South Carolina... | >99% | <1% | <1% |
| If Biden loses South Carolina... | 78% | 21% | 1% |
| If Trump wins South Carolina... | 21% | 78% | 1% |
| If Trump loses South Carolina... | <1% | >99% | <1% |
