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Michigan - 16 electoral votes
Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]
| Firm | Date (middle) | Sample | DEM | REP | Leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada projection | 2020-11-03 | 51.7 | 43.6 | Biden +8.1 | |
| Research Co. | 2020-11-01 | 450 | 50 | 43 | Biden +7 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2020-10-31 | 500 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| Change Research | 2020-10-31 | 383 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Emerson College | 2020-10-30 | 700 | 52 | 46 | Biden +6 |
| Ipsos | 2020-10-30 | 654 | 53 | 45 | Biden +8 |
| Mitchell Research & Co. | 2020-10-29 | 817 | 52 | 45 | Biden +7 |
| RMG Research | 2020-10-28 | 800 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2020-10-28 | 1212 | 54 | 41 | Biden +13 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2020-10-27 | 907 | 53 | 41 | Biden +12 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2020-10-27 | 600 | 48 | 41 | Biden +7 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-10-27 | 1736 | 52 | 45 | Biden +7 |
| Siena College/NYT | 2020-10-25 | 856 | 52 | 44 | Biden +8 |
| Trafalgar Group | 2020-10-24 | 723 | 47 | 49 | Trump +2 |
| Gravis Marketing | 2020-10-24 | 679 | 55 | 42 | Biden +13 |
| Ipsos | 2020-10-24 | 652 | 52 | 43 | Biden +9 |
| Glengariff Group | 2020-10-24 | 600 | 53 | 45 | Biden +8 |
| Kiaer Research | 2020-10-24 | 669 | 54 | 41 | Biden +13 |
| ABC News/Washington Post | 2020-10-23 | 789 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Fox News | 2020-10-19 | 1032 | 52 | 40 | Biden +12 |
| Mitchell Research & Co. | 2020-10-18 | 900 | 51 | 41 | Biden +10 |
| YouGov | 2020-10-18 | 681 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| Ipsos | 2020-10-17 | 686 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2020-10-17 | 600 | 48 | 39 | Biden +9 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-10-16 | 1717 | 52 | 44 | Biden +8 |
| Zia Poll | 2020-10-15 | 2851 | 45 | 49 | Trump +4 |
[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]
If Trump/Biden wins Michigan...
| Odds of winning election | Odds of losing election | Odds of 269-269 tie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Biden wins Michigan... | 89% | 10% | 1% |
| If Biden loses Michigan... | 26% | 74% | 1% |
| If Trump wins Michigan... | 74% | 26% | 1% |
| If Trump loses Michigan... | 10% | 89% | 1% |
