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Kentucky - 8 electoral votes
Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]
| Firm | Date (middle) | Sample | DEM | REP | Leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada projection | 2020-11-03 | 38.9 | 56.9 | Trump +18.0 | |
| Mason-Dixon Polling | 2020-10-14 | 625 | 39 | 56 | Trump +17 |
| Quinnipiac | 2020-09-12 | 1164 | 38 | 58 | Trump +20 |
| Quinnipiac | 2020-08-01 | 909 | 41 | 50 | Trump +9 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-07-29 | 793 | 35 | 59 | Trump +24 |
| Garin-Hart-Yang RG | 2020-07-10 | 800 | 41 | 53 | Trump +12 |
| Civiqs | 2020-06-14 | 989 | 37 | 57 | Trump +20 |
| RMG Research | 2020-05-23 | 500 | 36 | 53 | Trump +17 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2020-05-15 | 1104 | 39 | 55 | Trump +16 |
[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]
If Trump/Biden wins Kentucky...
| Odds of winning election | Odds of losing election | Odds of 269-269 tie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Biden wins Kentucky... | >99% | <1% | <1% |
| If Biden loses Kentucky... | 80% | 19% | 1% |
| If Trump wins Kentucky... | 19% | 80% | 1% |
| If Trump loses Kentucky... | <1% | >99% | <1% |
