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Quebec


Verdun


MNA: Alejandra Zaga-Mendez (QS)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

QS likely hold
Verdun 37% ± 8% 25% ± 7%▲ 16% ± 5% 15% ± 5%▼ 4% ± 2%▼ QS 2022 30.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Verdun 99% 1% <1% Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Verdun

LIB 25% ± 7% PQ 16% ± 5% CAQ 15% ± 5% QS 37% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Verdun 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Verdun

LIB 1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Verdun



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 9.7% 23.9% 30.8% 37% ± 8% LIB 50.6% 35.5% 29.3% 25% ± 7% CAQ 12.2% 20.4% 23.0% 15% ± 5% PQ 24.4% 12.7% 8.3% 16% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 0.7% 5.4% 4% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.