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Quebec


Les Plaines


MNA: Lucie Lecours (CAQ)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

Safe PQ gain
Les Plaines 42% ± 8%▲ 26% ± 7%▼ 12% ± 5% 10% ± 4%▼ 8% ± 4% CAQ 2022 50.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Les Plaines >99%▲ <1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Les Plaines

LIB 8% ± 4% PQ 42% ± 8% CAQ 26% ± 7% QS 12% ± 5% QCP 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Les Plaines 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Les Plaines

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Les Plaines



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 37.3% 50.8% 50.5% 26% ± 7% PQ 36.6% 23.8% 16.1% 42% ± 8% QS 6.2% 13.8% 13.3% 12% ± 5% QCP 0.8% 1.1% 12.1% 10% ± 4% LIB 18.5% 8.3% 6.9% 8% ± 4% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.