Northern Ontario, 13 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | |
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projection | Northern Ontario
Latest update: April 4, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Northern Ontario
Seat projection | Northern Ontario
List of electoral districts
Latest update: April 4, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
002 Algoma—Manitoulin | Leaning NDP | |
044 Kenora—Rainy River | Safe PCPO | |
045 Kiiwetinoong | Likely NDP | |
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay | Toss up PCPO/NDP | |
073 Nickel Belt | Likely NDP | |
074 Nipissing | Safe PCPO | |
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka | Toss up PCPO/GPO | |
093 Sault Ste. Marie | Likely PCPO | |
105 Sudbury | Toss up OLP/PCPO/NDP | |
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Toss up OLP/PCPO | |
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North | Likely OLP | |
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane | Toss up PCPO/NDP | |
110 Timmins | Safe PCPO |