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Ontario


Windsor West


MPP: Gretzky, Lisa (NDP)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Toss up PCPO/NDP
Windsor West 37% ± 9%▼ 35% ± 8%▲ 18% ± 6%▼ 4% ± 3% 4% ± 3% NDP 2022 42.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Windsor West 62%▼ 38%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Windsor West

OLP 18% ± 6% PCPO 35% ± 8% NDP 37% ± 9% GPO 4% ± 3% ONP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Windsor West 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO ONP

Odds of winning | Windsor West

OLP <1% PCPO 38% NDP 62% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Windsor West



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 41.4% 52.1% 42.1% 37% ± 9% PCPO 14.4% 28.4% 35.3% 35% ± 8% OLP 38.5% 14.8% 13.1% 18% ± 6% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 4% ± 3% GPO 3.2% 3.6% 2.8% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2% ± 2%