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Ontario


Willowdale


MPP: Cho, Stan (PCPO)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Toss up OLP/PCPO
Willowdale 43% ± 9%▼ 41% ± 9%▲ 9% ± 4% 4% ± 3% PCPO 2022 44.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Willowdale 66%▼ 34%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Willowdale

OLP 43% ± 9% PCPO 41% ± 9% NDP 9% ± 4% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Willowdale 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Willowdale

OLP 66% PCPO 34% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Willowdale



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 31.9% 43.7% 44.7% 41% ± 9% OLP 52.8% 26.7% 38.0% 43% ± 9% NDP 11.1% 25.7% 10.3% 9% ± 4% GPO 3.9% 2.3% 3.6% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1% ± 1% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1% ± 1%