logo
Ontario


Oshawa


MPP: French, Jennifer (NDP)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Toss up PCPO/NDP
Oshawa 40% ± 9%▼ 40% ± 9%▲ 11% ± 5%▼ 5% ± 3% NDP 2022 42.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Oshawa 51%▼ 49%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Oshawa

OLP 11% ± 5% PCPO 40% ± 9% NDP 40% ± 9% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Oshawa 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Oshawa

OLP <1% PCPO 49% NDP 51% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Oshawa



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 45.0% 44.8% 42.1% 40% ± 9% PCPO 31.5% 41.8% 40.2% 40% ± 9% OLP 19.5% 7.9% 9.1% 11% ± 5% GPO 3.9% 3.6% 4.0% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 2% ± 2%