Nova Scotia Liberal Party
Last update: March 9, 2024
| Leader | Zach Churchill |
| Popular vote in 2021 | 36.7% |
| Current vote projection | 24.9% ± 2.9% |
| Current seat projection | 5 ± 3 |
Vote projection | March 9, 2024
Seat projection | March 9, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Nova Scotia Liberal Party
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Halifax Atlantic |  |
LIB likely | >99% |
| 2. | Sydney-Membertou | |
LIB likely | 96% |
| 3. | Timberlea-Prospect | |
LIB leaning | 89% |
| 4. | Bedford Basin | |
Toss up LIB/PC | 60% |
| 5. | Clayton Park West | |
Toss up LIB/PC | 52% |
| 6. | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth | |
PC leaning | 29% |
| 7. | Yarmouth | |
PC leaning | 18% |
| 8. | Annapolis | |
PC likely | 5% |
| 9. | Bedford South | |
PC likely | 4% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Halifax Atlantic | LIB likely |
| 2. | Sydney-Membertou | LIB likely |
| 3. | Timberlea-Prospect | LIB leaning |
| 4. | Bedford Basin | Toss up LIB/PC |
| 5. | Clayton Park West | Toss up LIB/PC |
| 6. | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth | PC leaning |
| 7. | Yarmouth | PC leaning |
| 8. | Annapolis | PC likely |
| 9. | Bedford South | PC likely |
