logo
Nova scotia


Victoria-The Lakes


MLA: Keith L. Bain (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Victoria-The Lakes 65% ± 6%▲ 22% ± 5% 10% ± 3%▼ PC 2021 54.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Victoria-The Lakes >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Victoria-The Lakes

LIB 22% ± 5% PC 65% ± 6% NDP 10% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Victoria-The Lakes 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Victoria-The Lakes

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Victoria-The Lakes



2017 2021 Proj. PC 59.6% 54.4% 65% ± 6% LIB 26.8% 34.2% 22% ± 5% NDP 7.4% 9.6% 10% ± 3% IND 0.0% 1.8% 2% ± 2% GRN 3.6% 0.0% 1% ± 1%