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British columbia


Boundary-Similkameen


MLA: (New boundaries)
Latest projection: March 26, 2024

Toss up
Boundary-Similkameen 40% ± 8%▼ 37% ± 10%▲ 18% ± 6% 3% ± 4% OTH NDP 2020 49.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Boundary-Similkameen 64%▼ 36%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 26, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Boundary-Similkameen

BCU 18% ± 6% BCC 37% ± 10% NDP 40% ± 8% OTH 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Boundary-Similkameen 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP OTH

Odds of winning | Boundary-Similkameen

BCU <1% BCC 36% NDP 64% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Boundary-Similkameen



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 32.7% 49.9% 40% ± 8% BCU 42.8% 36.7% 18% ± 6% BCC 0.0% 11.2% 37% ± 10% BCG 10.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 4%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.