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Alberta


Innisfail-Sylvan Lake


MLA: Devin Dreeshen, (UCP)


Latest projection: March 19, 2024

Safe UCP
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake 69% ± 6% 27% ± 6%▼ UCP 2023 71.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Innisfail-Sylvan Lake >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).



Popular vote projection | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake

UCP 69% ± 6% NDP 27% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Odds of winning | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake

UCP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Recent electoral history | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake



2019 2023 Proj. UCP 74.6% 71.5% 69% ± 6% NDP 13.5% 25.0% 27% ± 6% ABP 9.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1%