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Canada


Nunavut (federal)


MP: Lori Idlout (NDP)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

NDP safe hold
Nunavut 51% ± 10% 27% ± 9% 20% ± 8% NDP 2021 47.87% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Nunavut >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Nunavut

LPC 27% ± 9% CPC 20% ± 8% NDP 51% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Nunavut 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Nunavut

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Nunavut



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 26.6% 40.8% 47.87% 51% ± 10% LPC 47.1% 30.9% 35.57% 27% ± 9% CPC 24.8% 26.1% 16.56% 20% ± 8% GPC 1.5% 2.2% 0.0% 2% ± 2%