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Canada


Vancouver Kingsway (federal)


MP: Don Davies (NDP)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

NDP safe hold
Vancouver Kingsway 49% ± 7% 23% ± 6% 20% ± 5% 7% ± 4% NDP 2021 52.25% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Vancouver Kingsway >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 49% ± 7% GPC 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Kingsway 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Kingsway



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 45.7% 49.1% 52.25% 49% ± 7% LPC 27.8% 23.1% 27.45% 23% ± 6% CPC 21.0% 19.9% 13.58% 20% ± 5% GPC 3.3% 6.1% 3.95% 7% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 2.18% 1% ± 1%