logo
Canada


Banff–Airdrie (federal)


MP: Blake Richards (CPC)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

CPC safe hold
Banff–Airdrie 64% ± 7% 18% ± 5%▲ 9% ± 4% 3% ± 2% 3% ± 3% 3% ± 2% IND CPC 2021 56.81% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Banff–Airdrie >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Banff–Airdrie

LPC 9% ± 4% CPC 64% ± 7% NDP 18% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Banff–Airdrie 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Banff–Airdrie

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Banff–Airdrie



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 63.4% 71.1% 56.81% 64% ± 7% NDP 6.8% 10.5% 16.21% 18% ± 5% LPC 26.1% 10.8% 12.32% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 3.4% 7.57% 3% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 3.34% 3% ± 2% GPC 3.8% 4.2% 1.83% 3% ± 2% MAV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%