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Canada


Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River (federal)


MP: Gary Vidal (CPC)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

CPC safe hold
Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River 57% ± 8% 22% ± 6% 18% ± 5% CPC 2021 48.59% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 57% ± 8% NDP 22% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 30.1% 42.3% 48.59% 57% ± 8% LPC 33.9% 26.5% 26.79% 18% ± 5% NDP 34.2% 28.4% 17.57% 22% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 0.8% 4.85% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 1.16% 0% ± 0% GPC 1.8% 2.0% 1.04% 2% ± 2%