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Canada


Vimy (federal)


MP: Annie Koutrakis (LPC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

LPC safe hold
Vimy 39% ± 7% 24% ± 6%▼ 20% ± 5% 13% ± 4% 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 49.77% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Vimy >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vimy

LPC 39% ± 7% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 13% ± 4% BQ 24% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Vimy 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Vimy

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Vimy



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.4% 47.7% 49.77% 39% ± 7% BQ 16.8% 27.8% 23.21% 24% ± 6% CPC 13.4% 10.7% 13.42% 20% ± 5% NDP 21.1% 8.6% 9.3% 13% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.3% 4.3% 3% ± 3% GPC 2.4% 3.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1%