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Canada


Laval–Les Îles (federal)


MP: Fayçal El-Khoury (LPC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

LPC likely hold
Laval–Les Îles 37% ± 7% 25% ± 6% 19% ± 5%▼ 10% ± 4% 4% ± 3% 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 48.82% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Laval–Les Îles 99% 1% <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Laval–Les Îles

LPC 37% ± 7% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 10% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 19% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Laval–Les Îles 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Laval–Les Îles

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Laval–Les Îles



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 47.7% 48.2% 48.82% 37% ± 7% BQ 12.4% 20.6% 19.16% 19% ± 5% CPC 18.1% 16.3% 17.73% 25% ± 6% NDP 19.8% 8.9% 7.66% 10% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 5.05% 3% ± 3% GPC 1.7% 4.3% 1.58% 4% ± 3%