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Canada


Lac-Saint-Louis (federal)


MP: Francis Scarpaleggia (LPC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

LPC safe hold
Lac-Saint-Louis 43% ± 7% 25% ± 6% 17% ± 5% 7% ± 4% 6% ± 4% LPC 2021 56.11% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Lac-Saint-Louis >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lac-Saint-Louis

LPC 43% ± 7% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 17% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% BQ 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Lac-Saint-Louis 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Lac-Saint-Louis

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Lac-Saint-Louis



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 64.1% 58.2% 56.11% 43% ± 7% CPC 17.4% 15.3% 19.03% 25% ± 6% NDP 12.8% 12.2% 13.25% 17% ± 5% BQ 2.7% 5.3% 5.37% 6% ± 4% GPC 2.9% 7.0% 3.26% 7% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 2.99% 2% ± 2%