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Canada


Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques (federal)


MP: Maxime Blanchette-Joncas (BQ)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

BQ safe hold
Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques 50% ± 8%▼ 22% ± 6% 17% ± 5%▲ 9% ± 4% BQ 2021 49.07% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 22% ± 6% NDP 9% ± 4% BQ 50% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 19.3% 37.8% 49.07% 50% ± 8% LPC 28.0% 22.1% 24.8% 17% ± 5% CPC 7.5% 8.9% 13.23% 22% ± 6% NDP 43.1% 28.5% 6.27% 9% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 3.49% 0% ± 0% PPC 0.0% 0.5% 1.66% 1% ± 1% GPC 1.5% 1.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1%