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Canada


Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation (federal)


MP: Stéphane Lauzon (LPC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

BQ leaning gain
Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation 35% ± 7%▼ 29% ± 6% 21% ± 5% 9% ± 4% 4% ± 3% LPC 2021 38.24% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation 86%▼ 14%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation

LPC 29% ± 6% CPC 21% ± 5% NDP 9% ± 4% BQ 35% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation

LPC 14% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 86% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 43.3% 37.8% 38.24% 29% ± 6% BQ 18.7% 36.3% 35.21% 35% ± 7% CPC 11.1% 12.1% 12.93% 21% ± 5% NDP 24.8% 7.5% 6.68% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 5.46% 4% ± 3% GPC 2.2% 4.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1%