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Canada


Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou (federal)


MP: Sylvie Bérubé (BQ)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

BQ likely hold
Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou 37% ± 8%▲ 23% ± 6%▼ 16% ± 5% 16% ± 5% 4% ± 3% BQ 2021 38.01% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou 99%▲ 1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 23% ± 6% NDP 16% ± 5% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 37% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou

LPC <1% CPC 1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 18.5% 36.1% 38.01% 37% ± 8% LPC 32.1% 28.3% 25.86% 16% ± 5% CPC 9.3% 16.6% 15.89% 23% ± 6% NDP 37.0% 13.0% 11.67% 16% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 3.8% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.3% 3.6% 1.55% 4% ± 3%