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Canada


Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe (federal)


MP: Ginette Petitpas Taylor (LPC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

LPC leaning hold
Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe 38% ± 7% 33% ± 7% 19% ± 5% 7% ± 4% 4% ± 3%▲ LPC 2021 48.38% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe 82% 18% <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe

LPC 38% ± 7% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 19% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe

LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 57.8% 43.0% 48.38% 38% ± 7% CPC 21.5% 23.5% 23.4% 33% ± 7% NDP 16.2% 11.9% 17.02% 19% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.4% 6.32% 4% ± 3% GPC 4.6% 17.9% 4.87% 7% ± 4%