338Canada.com - Liberal Party of Canada






338Canada Projection for the Liberal Party of Canada

Latest update: September 17th, 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection






Regional Seat Projection






National Seat Projection





Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of September 17th, 2019.)

#1 24069 Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel Safe LPC>99%
#2 24036 Lac-Saint-Louis Safe LPC>99%
#3 24029 Honoré-Mercier Safe LPC>99%
#4 24024 Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle Safe LPC>99%
#5 24053 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount Safe LPC>99%
#6 24055 Papineau Safe LPC>99%
#7 24068 Saint-Laurent Safe LPC>99%
#8 24056 Pierrefonds–Dollard Safe LPC>99%
#9 24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville Safe LPC>99%
#10 24015 Bourassa Safe LPC>99%
#11 24077 Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs Safe LPC>99%
#12 24027 Gatineau Safe LPC>99%
#13 24037 LaSalle–Émard–Verdun Safe LPC>99%
#14 24030 Hull–Aylmer Safe LPC>99%
#15 24017 Brossard–Saint-Lambert Safe LPC>99%
#16 12010 Sydney–Victoria Safe LPC>99%
#17 24057 Pontiac Safe LPC>99%
#18 35121 Humber River–Black Creek Safe LPC>99%
#19 13002 Beauséjour Safe LPC>99%
#20 24004 Alfred-Pellan Safe LPC>99%
#21 35098 Scarborough Southwest Safe LPC>99%
#22 24074 Vaudreuil–Soulanges Safe LPC>99%
#23 24078 Vimy Safe LPC>99%
#24 24016 Brome–Missisquoi Safe LPC>99%
#25 35044 Kingston and the Islands Safe LPC>99%
#26 35029 Etobicoke North Safe LPC>99%
#27 24052 Mount Royal Safe LPC>99%
#28 59033 Surrey–Newton Safe LPC>99%
#29 35108 Toronto Centre Safe LPC>99%
#30 35062 Mississauga–Malton Safe LPC>99%
#31 35077 Ottawa South Safe LPC>99%
#32 12001 Cape Breton–Canso Safe LPC>99%
#33 24021 Châteauguay–Lacolle Safe LPC>99%
#34 24054 Outremont Safe LPC>99%
#35 24005 Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation Safe LPC>99%
#36 35101 Spadina–Fort York Safe LPC>99%
#37 24065 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Safe LPC>99%
#38 35009 Brampton East Safe LPC>99%
#39 35110 University–Rosedale Safe LPC>99%
#40 35095 Scarborough–Guildwood Safe LPC>99%
#41 13001 Acadie–Bathurst Safe LPC>99%
#42 12004 Dartmouth–Cole Harbour Safe LPC>99%
#43 35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park Safe LPC>99%
#44 59034 Vancouver Centre Safe LPC>99%
#45 24026 Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe LPC>99%
#46 35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming Safe LPC>99%
#47 35090 Toronto–St. Paul's Safe LPC>99%
#48 35078 Ottawa–Vanier Safe LPC>99%
#49 24040 Laval–Les Îles Safe LPC>99%
#50 35007 Beaches–East York Safe LPC>99%
#51 13005 Madawaska–Restigouche Safe LPC>99%
#52 10007 St. John's South–Mount Pearl Safe LPC>99%
#53 24073 Sherbrooke Safe LPC>99%
#54 24072 Shefford Likely LPC>99%
#55 35019 Don Valley East Likely LPC>99%
#56 24023 Compton–Stanstead Likely LPC>99%
#57 35079 Ottawa West–Nepean Likely LPC>99%
#58 35096 Scarborough North Likely LPC>99%
#59 24034 La Prairie Likely LPC>99%
#60 13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe Likely LPC>99%
#61 12007 Kings–Hants Likely LPC>99%
#62 12006 Halifax West Likely LPC>99%
#63 35076 Orléans Likely LPC>99%
#64 10001 Avalon Likely LPC>99%
#65 35058 Mississauga Centre Likely LPC>99%
#66 35120 York South–Weston Likely LPC>99%
#67 10002 Bonavista–Burin–Trinity Likely LPC>99%
#68 24002 Abitibi–Témiscamingue Likely LPC>99%
#69 10005 Long Range Mountains Likely LPC>99%
#70 35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore Likely LPC>99%
#71 46012 Winnipeg North Likely LPC>99%
#72 46011 Winnipeg Centre Likely LPC>99%
#73 24001 Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Likely LPC>99%
#74 12005 Halifax Likely LPC>99%
#75 35085 Pickering–Uxbridge Likely LPC>99%
#76 24070 Saint-Maurice–Champlain Likely LPC99%
#77 24062 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Likely LPC99%
#78 35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville Likely LPC99%
#79 24044 Louis-Hébert Likely LPC99%
#80 35052 London North Centre Likely LPC99%
#81 35001 Ajax Likely LPC99%
#82 59032 Surrey Centre Likely LPC99%
#83 35103 Sudbury Likely LPC99%
#84 35032 Guelph Likely LPC98%
#85 35075 Ottawa Centre Likely LPC98%
#86 35045 Kitchener Centre Likely LPC98%
#87 10004 Labrador Likely LPC97%
#88 35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Likely LPC97%
#89 12011 West Nova Likely LPC97%
#90 35055 Markham–Thornhill Likely LPC97%
#91 24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Likely LPC97%
#92 35112 Waterloo Likely LPC97%
#93 24013 Thérèse-De Blainville Likely LPC97%
#94 35012 Brampton West Likely LPC97%
#95 35010 Brampton North Likely LPC97%
#96 35027 Etobicoke Centre Likely LPC96%
#97 12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Likely LPC96%
#98 35115 Willowdale Likely LPC96%
#99 35021 Don Valley West Likely LPC96%
#100 59039 Vancouver Quadra Likely LPC96%
#101 35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North Likely LPC96%
#102 35094 Scarborough Centre Likely LPC96%
#103 35008 Brampton Centre Likely LPC96%
#104 35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Likely LPC96%
#105 35006 Bay of Quinte Likely LPC95%
#106 11004 Malpeque Likely LPC95%
#107 35011 Brampton South Likely LPC95%
#108 10006 St. John's East Likely LPC95%
#109 35072 Oakville Likely LPC95%
#110 10003 Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Likely LPC94%
#111 59042 West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Likely LPC94%
#112 35064 Nepean Likely LPC94%
#113 35081 Parkdale–High Park Likely LPC94%
#114 24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely LPC92%
#115 35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Likely LPC92%
#116 35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills Likely LPC92%
#117 11002 Charlottetown Likely LPC92%
#118 24067 Saint-Jean Likely LPC91%
#119 11001 Cardigan Likely LPC91%
#120 35066 Niagara Centre Likely LPC91%
#121 24059 Québec Likely LPC91%
#122 24049 Montarville Likely LPC91%
#123 24006 Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia Likely LPC90%
#124 59021 North Vancouver Leaning LPC89%
#125 35020 Don Valley North Leaning LPC89%
#126 35092 Sault Ste. Marie Leaning LPC86%
#127 35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore Leaning LPC84%
#128 24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Leaning LPC84%
#129 35018 Davenport Leaning LPC83%
#130 35053 London West Leaning LPC82%
#131 35069 Nickel Belt Leaning LPC82%
#132 35109 Toronto–Danforth Leaning LPC81%
#133 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Leaning LPC81%
#134 12009 South Shore–St. Margarets Leaning LPC80%
#135 24071 Salaberry–Suroît Leaning LPC79%
#136 35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Leaning LPC77%
#137 12002 Central Nova Leaning LPC77%
#138 35089 St. Catharines Leaning LPC77%
#139 35037 Hamilton Mountain Leaning LPC76%
#140 35042 Kenora Leaning LPC73%
#141 24028 Hochelaga Leaning LPC73%
#142 47009 Regina–Wascana Leaning LPC73%
#143 35024 Eglinton–Lawrence Leaning LPC72%
#144 35054 Markham–Stouffville Leaning LPC71%
#145 62001 Nunavut Toss up70%
#146 24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot Toss up69%
#147 35063 Mississauga–Streetsville Toss up69%
#148 35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge Toss up69%
#149 35015 Burlington Toss up68%
#150 46014 Winnipeg South Centre Toss up67%
#151 60001 Yukon Toss up67%
#152 35041 Kanata–Carleton Toss up66%
#153 35093 Scarborough–Agincourt Toss up66%
#154 24011 Beloeil–Chambly Toss up64%
#155 12003 Cumberland–Colchester Toss up64%
#156 13003 Fredericton Toss up63%
#157 61001 Northwest Territories Toss up62%
#158 35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Toss up62%
#159 35073 Oakville North–Burlington Toss up62%
#160 35087 Richmond Hill Toss up61%
#161 35084 Peterborough–Kawartha Toss up60%
#162 24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up60%
#163 59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells Toss up59%
#164 46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Toss up59%
#165 35065 Newmarket–Aurora Toss up57%
#166 35117 Windsor West Toss up56%
#167 46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski Toss up54%
#168 11003 Egmont Toss up54%
#169 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Toss up53%
#170 35016 Cambridge Toss up52%
#171 24038 Laurentides–Labelle Toss up52%
#172 35043 King–Vaughan Toss up51%
#173 59011 Delta Toss up51%
#174 35051 London–Fanshawe Toss up50%
#175 35118 York Centre Toss up49%
#176 35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler Toss up48%
#177 46009 Saint Boniface–Saint Vital Toss up48%
#178 59040 Vancouver South Toss up47%
#179 35114 Whitby Toss up47%
#180 35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Toss up46%
#181 35057 Milton Toss up45%
#182 24032 Jonquière Toss up45%
#183 35035 Hamilton Centre Toss up44%
#184 24025 Drummond Toss up43%
#185 35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South Toss up43%
#186 13009 Saint John–Rothesay Toss up43%
#187 59036 Vancouver Granville Toss up40%
#188 59002 Burnaby North–Seymour Toss up39%
#189 13010 Tobique–Mactaquac Toss up38%
#190 35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Toss up36%
#191 46013 Winnipeg South Toss up32%
#192 24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Toss up31%
#193 35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington Toss up31%
#194 35046 Kitchener–Conestoga Leaning CPC27%
#195 13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake Leaning CPC27%
#196 24048 Mirabel Leaning BQ26%
#197 24035 Lac-Saint-Jean Leaning CPC26%
#198 35056 Markham–Unionville Leaning CPC25%
#199 24075 Terrebonne Leaning BQ25%
#200 24008 Beauport–Limoilou Leaning CPC25%
#201 59007 Cloverdale–Langley City Leaning CPC23%
#202 35013 Brantford–Brant Leaning CPC23%
#203 35074 Oshawa Leaning CPC22%
#204 13004 Fundy Royal Leaning CPC22%
#205 24033 La Pointe-de-l'Île Leaning BQ18%
#206 24031 Joliette Leaning BQ17%
#207 59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Toss up17%
#208 24060 Repentigny Leaning BQ17%
#209 48013 Calgary Skyview Leaning CPC16%
#210 24050 Montcalm Leaning BQ16%
#211 35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up16%
#212 24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup Leaning CPC15%
#213 35119 York–Simcoe Leaning CPC14%
#214 35067 Niagara Falls Leaning CPC14%
#215 13008 New Brunswick Southwest Leaning CPC14%
#216 35100 Simcoe North Leaning CPC13%
#217 24063 Rivière-du-Nord Leaning BQ13%
#218 35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook Leaning CPC12%
#219 59003 Burnaby South Toss up11%
#220 59031 Steveston–Richmond East Leaning CPC11%
#221 35107 Timmins–James Bay Leaning NDP11%
#222 35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka Leaning CPC10%
#223 35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington Leaning CPC10%
#224 35040 Huron–Bruce Likely CPC10%
#225 35004 Barrie–Innisfil Likely CPC9%
#226 24014 Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères Likely BQ9%
#227 24046 Manicouagan Likely BQ9%
#228 35083 Perth–Wellington Likely CPC9%
#229 59014 Kelowna–Lake Country Likely CPC9%
#230 48014 Edmonton Centre Likely CPC8%
#231 59019 New Westminster–Burnaby Leaning NDP7%
#232 35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry Likely CPC7%
#233 35104 Thornhill Likely CPC5%