338Canada.com - Liberal Party of Canada






338Canada Projection for the Liberal Party of Canada

Latest update: March 17th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Pourcentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of March 17th 2019.)

#1 24069 Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel Safe LPC>99%
#2 24029 Honoré-Mercier Safe LPC>99%
#3 24024 Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle Safe LPC>99%
#4 24055 Papineau Safe LPC>99%
#5 24036 Lac-Saint-Louis Safe LPC>99%
#6 24053 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount Safe LPC>99%
#7 24027 Gatineau Safe LPC>99%
#8 24015 Bourassa Safe LPC>99%
#9 24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville Safe LPC>99%
#10 24030 Hull–Aylmer Safe LPC>99%
#11 24068 Saint-Laurent Safe LPC>99%
#12 24056 Pierrefonds–Dollard Safe LPC>99%
#13 24037 LaSalle–Émard–Verdun Safe LPC>99%
#14 24077 Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs Safe LPC>99%
#15 46012 Winnipeg North Safe LPC>99%
#16 59034 Vancouver Centre Safe LPC>99%
#17 24057 Pontiac Safe LPC>99%
#18 24004 Alfred-Pellan Safe LPC>99%
#19 12010 Sydney–Victoria Safe LPC>99%
#20 24005 Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation Safe LPC>99%
#21 24016 Brome–Missisquoi Safe LPC>99%
#22 24074 Vaudreuil–Soulanges Safe LPC>99%
#23 24017 Brossard–Saint-Lambert Safe LPC>99%
#24 24078 Vimy Safe LPC>99%
#25 59033 Surrey–Newton Safe LPC>99%
#26 13002 Beauséjour Safe LPC>99%
#27 24065 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Safe LPC>99%
#28 10005 Long Range Mountains Safe LPC>99%
#29 46011 Winnipeg Centre Safe LPC>99%
#30 24026 Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe LPC>99%
#31 24072 Shefford Safe LPC>99%
#32 24006 Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia Safe LPC>99%
#33 35098 Scarborough Southwest Safe LPC>99%
#34 35044 Kingston and the Islands Safe LPC>99%
#35 35078 Ottawa–Vanier Safe LPC>99%
#36 24021 Châteauguay–Lacolle Safe LPC>99%
#37 24023 Compton–Stanstead Safe LPC>99%
#38 35121 Humber River–Black Creek Safe LPC>99%
#39 59039 Vancouver Quadra Safe LPC>99%
#40 59042 West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Safe LPC>99%
#41 12001 Cape Breton–Canso Safe LPC>99%
#42 12004 Dartmouth–Cole Harbour Safe LPC>99%
#43 59021 North Vancouver Safe LPC>99%
#44 24040 Laval–Les Îles Safe LPC>99%
#45 35077 Ottawa South Safe LPC>99%
#46 24001 Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Safe LPC>99%
#47 10001 Avalon Safe LPC>99%
#48 35029 Etobicoke North Safe LPC>99%
#49 24070 Saint-Maurice–Champlain Safe LPC>99%
#50 12006 Halifax West Safe LPC>99%
#51 35009 Brampton East Safe LPC>99%
#52 24002 Abitibi–Témiscamingue Safe LPC>99%
#53 35108 Toronto Centre Safe LPC>99%
#54 59032 Surrey Centre Safe LPC>99%
#55 24034 La Prairie Safe LPC>99%
#56 12005 Halifax Safe LPC>99%
#57 24073 Sherbrooke Safe LPC>99%
#58 35101 Spadina–Fort York Safe LPC>99%
#59 11002 Charlottetown Safe LPC>99%
#60 46014 Winnipeg South Centre Safe LPC>99%
#61 35110 University–Rosedale Likely LPC>99%
#62 35095 Scarborough–Guildwood Likely LPC>99%
#63 24067 Saint-Jean Likely LPC>99%
#64 35090 Toronto–St. Paul's Likely LPC98%
#65 24054 Outremont Likely LPC98%
#66 35062 Mississauga–Malton Likely LPC98%
#67 11001 Cardigan Likely LPC98%
#68 35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park Likely LPC98%
#69 46009 Saint Boniface–Saint Vital Likely LPC98%
#70 10004 Labrador Likely LPC98%
#71 24062 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Likely LPC98%
#72 13001 Acadie–Bathurst Likely LPC97%
#73 12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Likely LPC97%
#74 59036 Vancouver Granville Likely LPC97%
#75 13005 Madawaska–Restigouche Likely LPC97%
#76 35103 Sudbury Likely LPC97%
#77 35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North Likely LPC96%
#78 11004 Malpeque Likely LPC96%
#79 10003 Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Likely LPC96%
#80 59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells Likely LPC96%
#81 12007 Kings–Hants Likely LPC96%
#82 24013 Thérèse-De Blainville Likely LPC95%
#83 47009 Regina–Wascana Likely LPC95%
#84 35079 Ottawa West–Nepean Likely LPC94%
#85 35007 Beaches–East York Likely LPC94%
#86 10002 Bonavista–Burin–Trinity Likely LPC94%
#87 24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Likely LPC94%
#88 10007 St. John's South–Mount Pearl Likely LPC94%
#89 35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming Likely LPC93%
#90 35076 Orléans Likely LPC92%
#91 24049 Montarville Likely LPC92%
#92 35019 Don Valley East Likely LPC92%
#93 35096 Scarborough North Likely LPC91%
#94 59011 Delta Likely LPC91%
#95 24052 Mount Royal Likely LPC91%
#96 24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely LPC91%
#97 59040 Vancouver South Likely LPC90%
#98 13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe Likely LPC89%
#99 35120 York South–Weston Likely LPC88%
#100 35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Likely LPC85%
#101 35052 London North Centre Likely LPC84%
#102 46013 Winnipeg South Likely LPC83%
#103 35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore Likely LPC83%
#104 35058 Mississauga Centre Likely LPC81%
#105 35045 Kitchener Centre Likely LPC81%
#106 10006 St. John's East Leaning LPC80%
#107 12009 South Shore–St. Margarets Leaning LPC80%
#108 24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Leaning LPC77%
#109 24011 Beloeil–Chambly Leaning LPC75%
#110 35094 Scarborough Centre Leaning LPC75%
#111 35112 Waterloo Leaning LPC74%
#112 35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Leaning LPC72%
#113 59007 Cloverdale–Langley City Leaning LPC71%
#114 35032 Guelph Leaning LPC70%
#115 35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Leaning LPC70%
#116 35006 Bay of Quinte Leaning LPC67%
#117 12011 West Nova Leaning LPC66%
#118 35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville Leaning LPC64%
#119 59002 Burnaby North–Seymour Leaning LPC64%
#120 24071 Salaberry–Suroît Leaning LPC64%
#121 35001 Ajax Leaning LPC63%
#122 24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot Leaning LPC62%
#123 61001 Northwest Territories Leaning LPC61%
#124 35092 Sault Ste. Marie Leaning LPC60%
#125 12003 Cumberland–Colchester Leaning LPC60%
#126 35064 Nepean Toss up58%
#127 24038 Laurentides–Labelle Toss up58%
#128 12002 Central Nova Toss up57%
#129 35115 Willowdale Toss up57%
#130 35027 Etobicoke Centre Toss up56%
#131 35021 Don Valley West Toss up55%
#132 35012 Brampton West Toss up53%
#133 35055 Markham–Thornhill Toss up53%
#134 35010 Brampton North Toss up52%
#135 24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up50%
#136 62001 Nunavut Toss up50%
#137 60001 Yukon Toss up50%
#138 35008 Brampton Centre Toss up49%
#139 35020 Don Valley North Toss up47%
#140 59031 Steveston–Richmond East Toss up45%
#141 35011 Brampton South Toss up44%
#142 59014 Kelowna–Lake Country Toss up42%
#143 24059 Québec Toss up42%
#144 35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up39%
#145 35085 Pickering–Uxbridge Leaning CPC39%
#146 35041 Kanata–Carleton Leaning CPC38%
#147 35075 Ottawa Centre Leaning NDP36%
#148 35053 London West Leaning CPC35%
#149 46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Leaning CPC35%
#150 24044 Louis-Hébert Leaning CPC35%
#151 24025 Drummond Leaning CPC34%
#152 24028 Hochelaga Leaning BQ34%
#153 35069 Nickel Belt Leaning NDP33%
#154 59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Leaning CPC31%
#155 35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills Leaning CPC30%
#156 35093 Scarborough–Agincourt Leaning CPC29%
#157 35084 Peterborough–Kawartha Leaning CPC28%
#158 59030 South Surrey–White Rock Leaning CPC26%
#159 59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Leaning CPC26%
#160 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Leaning NDP25%
#161 59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon Leaning CPC25%
#162 35018 Davenport Leaning NDP22%
#163 35109 Toronto–Danforth Likely NDP19%
#164 35054 Markham–Stouffville Likely CPC19%
#165 46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski Likely NDP19%
#166 35063 Mississauga–Streetsville Likely CPC18%
#167 35081 Parkdale–High Park Likely NDP18%
#168 24032 Jonquière Leaning CPC17%
#169 35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler Likely CPC15%
#170 11003 Egmont Likely CPC14%
#171 35072 Oakville Likely CPC14%
#172 35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore Likely CPC14%
#173 35089 St. Catharines Likely CPC14%
#174 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Leaning BQ13%
#175 35066 Niagara Centre Toss up13%
#176 35024 Eglinton–Lawrence Likely CPC13%
#177 35042 Kenora Toss up13%
#178 59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up12%
#179 35016 Cambridge Likely CPC11%